Marco Cecchinato vs Alexey Vatutin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Cecchinato has a slightly better second serve performance lately, winning 43.69% of points versus Vatutin's 42.5%. Does this offer insight into match outcomes? It often does.
• When it comes to returning, Vatutin holds an edge, winning 46.7% of second serve returns compared to Cecchinato's 44.32%.
• For first serve return points, Vatutin surpasses Cecchinato, achieving 31.3% in contrast to 26.38% for Cecchinato.
• In terms of withstanding pressure, Cecchinato excels with a 55.12% breakpoint save rate over Vatutin's 48.84%.
• Looking at overall performance in the past year, Vatutin has a better match win rate at 60.81% compared to Cecchinato's 53.85%.
• Cecchinato favors clay surfaces with a 61% win rate, while Vatutin prefers hard courts, showing a 60% win rate.
• Both players compete mostly in Challengers/ITF > $10K, but Vatutin has a slightly higher win rate of 58.18% than Cecchinato's 54.9% in the past year.
• Direct encounters have seen Cecchinato winning 2 out of 3 matches against Vatutin, though Vatutin won their most recent encounter on clay decisively.
• Cecchinato has faced slightly stronger competition on average, with opponents ranked around 315.58 versus Vatutin's 401.11.
• In deciders, Vatutin excels, winning 68% of such sets, compared to Cecchinato's lower rate of 36% over the last 12 months.
• Vatutin shows superior breakpoint conversion recently, achieving 34.43% compared to Cecchinato's 30%.

Editorial Prediction (August 12, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Cecchinato and Vatutin promises to be competitive, given each player's advantages in different areas. Cecchinato's upper hand in breakpoint saving indicates resilience under pressure, which could be vital.

However, Vatutin's prowess in return games and higher conversion of breakpoints highlight his potential to disrupt Cecchinato's service games effectively. Additionally, Vatutin's recent victory over Cecchinato on clay adds psychological motivation.

Considering Vatutin's impressive performance in deciding set situations and slightly more favorable recent win percentage, he seems to hold an edge in this matchup.

Based on these factors, Vatutin is likely to emerge as the winner in the upcoming clash.